URC 2023 Abstract
Sean McArdle
The Evolution Of the NBA Three Pointer
Over the past 30 years, the NBA has shifted from a defense-driven league to one reliant on offensive volume, particularly the three-point shot. The three-point line was introduced in the ABA in 1967 and adopted by the NBA in 1979. Initially, the shot was inefficient and infrequently used, with teams averaging only 3.45 attempts per game and shooting at just 27.8% in the 1980s. The first major change came with Reggie Miller in the 1990s, who averaged 40.17% from three, 2.0 makes per game, and was 6.65% above league average in a time when teams averaged just 4.45 makes per game. Miller's three-point attempts and makes showed a 0.99 correlation, while his three-point percentage had a 0.78 correlation with his team's success, marking a shift toward perimeter offense. In the 2000s, Ray Allen became another shooting phenom, ranking third in all-time makes with 2,973. His points per game (22.1) were strongly linked to his three-point attempts (0.97) and makes (0.94). However, his team's success was negatively correlated with his performance (-0.94), reflecting his role as a secondary option during his time with the Bucks and Sonics.The game-changing impact of Stephen Curry in the 2010s pushed the NBA into a new era. Curry's shooting volume and efficiency transformed the Golden State Warriors, with his three-point attempts correlating highly with team success (0.98) and league-wide trends (0.97). His influence helped increase league-wide three-point attempts from 18 per game in 2010 to 37.4 in 2024. The Warriors' shooting success is also reflected in a 0.9975 correlation between their three-point attempts and league-wide attempts.Today, teams like the Boston Celtics lead the NBA in three-point volume, averaging 42.5 attempts per game during their 2023-2024 championship season. This shift toward heavy three-point reliance is set to continue, raising potential discussions about extending the three-point line as the league adapts to new shooting standards.
Presenter: 246
Sean McArdle Senior College of Arts & Sciences Texas Tech University Affiliations:
Abstract: A246
Impact Area: Creativity & Culture
Session: A - Tues. April 1, 10:00 AM, TTU Museum Sculpture Garden
Project Author(s)
Sean McArdle
Mentor
Hoyoon Jung Kinesiology and Sport Management TTU College of Arts & Sciences
Center for Transformative Undergraduate Experiences
-
Address
TrUE, Drane Hall #239, MS 1010 -
Phone
806.742.1095 -
Email
true@ttu.edu