Documentation Hub
Explore key publications and ongoing research by CECREH, reflecting our scholarly contributions to the fields of disaster resilience, post-disaster housing recovery, and equitable community development.
Published
Danielle Craig, Ali Nejat
Abstract
It is estimated that around 1/3rd of the US population lives in unincorporated areas that lie outside of municipal boundaries. Considering the substantial demographic segment and the increasing incidence of disasters, it is important to understand how unincorporated communities plan for, respond to, and recover from disasters; however, limited scholarly attention has addressed this topic with coverage focusing on singular forms of unincorporated communities, such as colonias and AIAN communities, and no coverage of unincorporated communities generally. A more comprehensive understanding of the vulnerability, exposure, risk, and resilience of unincorporated communities to disasters could allow addressing how these populations can better prepare for, respond to, and recover from disasters. This systematic review intends to explore the key problems, solutions, and challenges faced by these communities during different stages of disaster. The paper concludes with recommendations for how unincorporated communities can increase resilience and capacity when faced with disasters.
Under review
Under review
Rodrigo Costa, Ben Mann, Amin Sobhani, Sara Hamideh, Ali Nejat, Ashley Ross
Abstract
The Community Development Block Grant–Disaster Recovery (CDBG-DR) program is the primary federal mechanism for financing long-term housing recovery, yet expenditures often lag years behind events. This study examines how administrative processes influenced implementation following the 2017 disasters in Texas, Florida, and California. Drawing on state Action Plans and longitudinal data, the findings reveal that while repeated amendments allowed for adaptation, they contributed to delayed program rollout. The analysis shows that implementation efficiency varied significantly; Texas and Florida achieved closer obligation–expenditure alignment through incremental adjustments, whereas California faced persistent delays driven by prolonged front-end planning. The results suggest that delays in CDBG-DR assistance are systemic, highlighting a need for standardized early guidance and streamlined planning to expedite assistance to disaster-affected households.
Under review
RAAbIT: A Recovery Agent-Based Integrated Tool for Post-Disaster Housing Simulation
Rodrigo Costa, Ali Nejat, Sara Hamideh
Abstract
As climate change increases the frequency and severity of disasters, proactive planning for post-disaster housing recovery is essential to mitigate long-term social and economic disruption. Computational models can support this planning by simulating potential recovery trajectories, yet many existing approaches are limited by overwhelming data requirements or narrow applicability to past events. Here, we introduce RAAbIT (Recovery Assessment using Agent-based Tools), a novel agent-based model designed to simulate housing recovery using data available within weeks of a disaster. RAAbIT models individual households, insurers, and contractors as agents governed by empirical behavior rules, and incorporates modifiable system-level constraints, such as contractor availability, to reflect context-specific recovery dynamics. We demonstrate the models utility by hindcasting two California wildfires—the 2017 Tubbs Fire in Santa Rosa and the 2018 Camp Fire in Paradise—and capturing their divergent recovery trajectories. Despite similar hazards, the two communities experienced significantly different reconstruction outcomes, with Santa Rosa rebuilding 57% of destroyed homes and Paradise only 9% within five years. RAAbIT can reproduce temporal and spatial patterns of recovery observed in building permit and construction data. By balancing generalizability with data realism, RAAbIT provides a flexible and transferable tool for post-disaster recovery planning, supporting more effective decision-making under uncertainty and enhancing community resilience in the face of escalating climate risks.
Under review
Longitudinal Housing Recovery Following Hurricane Sandy: A Survival Analysis
Babatunde Lawal, Ali Nejat, Rodrigo Costa, Amin Sobhani, Sara Hamideh, Ashley D. Ross
Abstract
This study employed a longitudinal approach to analyze housing recovery following Hurricane Sandy, utilizing survival analysis to assess the time required for property values to return to or exceed their pre-disaster appraised values. Lots appraised values before the hurricane and across multiple years, post-disaster, were extracted as proxies for damage severity and recovery progress. The recovery timeline was then linked to household and housing characteristics to determine their significance in long-term recovery. Results indicated that households with higher socioeconomic status and education levels, as well as those residing in older homes, tended to recover more slowly compared to their counterparts. These findings provide critical insights into the factors influencing long-term housing recovery, offering valuable guidance for disaster recovery planning and policymaking at various levels to enhance resilience and equitable recovery outcomes.
Under review
Paul Iyohaa, Ali Nejat, Sina Mostafavi
Abstract
The rise in global disasters has highlighted the need for innovative and resilient housing solutions that can withstand and recover from catastrophic events. Conventional construction methods are often time-consuming, labor-intensive, costly, and ineffective in providing adequate resilient housing able to withstand disasters and/or recover from them. 3D printing technology(3DPT) offers a promising solution for disaster-resilient housing. However, comprehensive knowledge of their utilization in this specific area is lacking. This systematic review explores the utilization of 3DPT specifically towards disaster-resilient housing, encompassing both pre-and post-disaster scenarios through retrofitting and recovery applications. In pre-and post-disaster applications, 3DPT offers promising solutions by streamlining construction processes, reducing waste, and enabling rapid customization of housing solutions. The review identifies critical barriers in preand post-disaster housing and highlights the transformative potential of 3DPT in revolutionizing the construction industry. Through an analysis of the literature, it becomes evident that 3DPT presents opportunities to address significant challenges often faced by conventional construction methods. The review also conducts a t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) to help with visualizing the emerged clusters of the gathered reports using Gaussian Mixture Models, topic modeling using latent Dirichlet allocation, and a SWOT analysis, which reveals strengths such as customizability and time efficiency while acknowledging weaknesses like high initial investment and material restrictions. Recommendations for future research include standardization and code development, material innovation, community engagement, long-term performance evaluation, and policy and governance considerations. By addressing these research gaps, 3DPT can maximize their potential to provide sustainable, cost-effective, and resilient housing solutions for communities worldwide.
Summit Posters
Posters presented at the 2025 CECREH Inaugural Summit, showcasing student and faculty research on climate resilience, housing recovery, and community capacity-building.

Building Local Capacity to Flooding
Danielle Craig, Ali Nejat, Ashley Ross
Explores how unincorporated communities in the Lower Rio Grande Valley build adaptive capacity to flooding, using a system-dynamics and capitals framework to inform local disaster policy and resilience strategies.

Resilient Manufactured Housing: Performance–Cost Tradeoffs for Wind and Wildfire Strategies
Paul Iyoha, Elaina J. Sutley, Andres Alvarado Cueva
Evaluates how upgrades to load paths, cladding, openings, and ventilation can improve manufactured home performance in wind and wildfire while balancing cost, code requirements, and affordability.

Longitudinal Housing Recovery Following Hurricane Sandy: A Survival Analysis
Babatunde Lawal, Ali Nejat, Rodrigo Costa, Amin Sobhani, Sara Hamideh
Uses survival analysis of property values in New York City to examine how income, education, and housing characteristics shape the pace of long-term housing recovery after Hurricane Sandy.

Defining Subnational Government Capacity for Disaster Recovery: A Systematic Literature Review
Ashley D. Ross, Ali Nejat, Miranda Sauceda
Synthesizes disaster recovery research to identify how local and state government capacity is conceptualized and measured, developing a multidimensional framework to guide capacity-building efforts.

Post-wildfire Housing Recovery Simulation via an Agent-based Model (RAAbIT)
Rodrigo Costa, Ali Nejat, Sara Hamideh
Presents RAAbIT, an agent-based model that uses early post-disaster data to simulate housing recovery, reproducing spatial and temporal rebuilding patterns and enabling “what-if” planning scenarios.

A Comparative Analysis of CDBG-DR Funding Allocations/Expenses for 2017 Disasters in California, Florida, and Texas
Ben Christopher Mann, Rodrigo Costa, Ali Nejat
Analyzes how state CDBG-DR strategies vary by disaster type and administration, comparing shifts in housing rehabilitation and new construction funding across three states and their recovery programs.

Surrogate Modeling of Flood-Induced Housing Damage: Harvey, Severe Spring Storms, and Irma
Temidayo Popoola, Ali Nejat, Babatunde Lawal, Katharine Hayhoe, Hussein Orekoya
Uses machine-learning models to link hazard, vulnerability, and exposure measures to housing damage across multiple flood events, highlighting key drivers of risk at different spatial scales.
Center of Excellence in Capacity-building for REsilient Housing
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Email
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